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  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 7 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    The Economist: Russia Set for Dismal 2015

    Russia's central bank decided to raise rates by 6.5% this week. Such a startling move only just begins to reveal the dire circumstances Russia is facing. The Economist points out that all signs point to things getting worse in 2015. The dollar...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 7 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Fed Keeping Near-zero Interest Rates, But Be Prepared For Shift Later in the Year

    The Federal Reserve announced yesterday that, while "the economy is expanding at a moderate rate," it is maintaining the near-zero target interest rates. At least for the time being. The door appears to be open for a change later in the year...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 7 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Planet Money: Iceland's Jubilee and Forgiving Debt

    Here's an idea. Forgive debt. Everybody's debt. It is a pretty old idea, actually. But now Iceland is thinking of giving it a try. And Planet Money went to Iceland to explore this key question: "What happens when you wipe debt clean?"...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 7 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    CPI Declines for First Time All Year

    After increasing every month prior this year, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers decreased 0.2% in August, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics . In fact, this is the first decrease since April 2013. Declining energy prices, most...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 7 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Energy Prices Down, Food Prices Up, CPI Rises Slightly in July

    The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 0.1% in July (seasonally adjusted), according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics . While this was the smallest monthly increase since February, the CPI-U has been growing all year. Food prices were...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 7 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Bureau of Labor Statistics: Real Average Earnings Drop as CPI Increases

    The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 0.3% in June (seasonally adjusted), according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics . The CPI-U has grown every month over the last year except for October 2013. The all items index has grown 2.1% over...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 7 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Defends Fed's Independence and Accomodative Monetary Policy

    In a speech to the Utah and Montana Bankers Association yesterday, San Francisco Fed president John C. Williams addresses some of the concerns he's been hearing about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy moves. One of the concerns he hears most...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 7 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    The Challenge of Hitting a Moving Target in Monetary Policy Decisions

    At Project Syndicate , Jeffrey Frankel writes about central bankers in emerging markets, where the tricky task of setting "en explicit target range" when the reality is that it may be a moving target. Until the currency crashes of the 1990s...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 7 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Fed Continues to Taper

    The Federal Reserve announced this week that it will continue to taper. That is, it will continue to pull back from its quantitative easing monetary policy. One trigger is, as it has been the last year or so, improved jobs data. Here is a key paragraph...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 12 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    The Fed and the (Near?) Future of Interest Rates

    Yesterday the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors decided in their last policy meeting of the year to keep the target range for federal funds--aka, the benchmark interest rate--between 0 and 1/4 percent. Their reasoning, at least publicly, appears...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 8 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Draghi on Eurozone's 'Path from Crisis to Stability'

    Well, isn't this a change. At this year's annual World Economic Forum in Davos, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi spoke about reduced risks and "dramatic recovery" in Europe's economies. In this interview with Philipp...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 8 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Paul Volcker on the Fed's Independence and Restoring Trust in the Financial World

    Paul Volcker believes the Fed is at a "crossroads," just as it was when he first worked there, 64 years ago. Writing in the August 13 issue of The New York Review of Books , the former Fed Chair shares a bit of historical analysis as he looks...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 10 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    CPI Rises 0.3 Percent in March

    The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose again in March. CPI was up 0.3 percent over February (seasonally adjusted) and is up 2.7 percent over the last 12 months (not seasonally adjusted). The gas index pushed the overall energy index up...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 12 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Mankiw: Massive Monetary Base and Inflation Fears

    Greg Mankiw challenges the notion put forward in this Wall Street Journal article that a rapidly expanding--or "exploding"--monetary base is a sign that inflation is around the corner. While this graph seems to spell out inflation: Mankiw...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 12 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    'Median CPI' as a New Way of Spotting Inflationary Trends

    Researchers at the Cleveland Fed and The Ohio State University have developed a new way of measuring inflationary trends. They call it the "Median CPI." Here's the basic description: To calculate the median CPI, the Federal Reserve Bank...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 12 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Producer Price Index: Prices Rose Higher Than Expected in November

    There was a significant shift in inflation between November, 2008 and November, 2009. The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods rose 1.8% last month--a year ago it dropped 2.7%. Here's the 12-month trend for the seasonally-adjusted PPI from the...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 10 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Low Expectations and No Monetary Policy Changes from the FOMC November Meeting

    The Federal Open Market Committee has wrapped up its two day November meeting, and it appears there are no significant changes to monetary policy coming in the near future. The Fed will keep the federal funds target rate at 0 to 1/4 percent, as the committee...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 10 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Bernanke on the Outlook for Growth and Inflation

    Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke also took to the podium yesterday, albeit with a much, much smaller audience. He gave his outlook on the US Economy in Minneapolis, but he there was little in his speech to suggest any significant change in monetary...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 8 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Jeffrey Frankel on Europe's Need to Ease

    Europe needs to do something, according to Jeffrey Frankel . Specifically, the European Central Bank needs to do something about low inflation, which could soon become deflation in some EU economies. So Frankel is advocating for easing monetary policy...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 12 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Buffett Warns of Need to Control Greenback Gusher

    Warren Buffett writes in today's New York Times that we must not only be concerned with greenhouse emmissions, but with "greenback emmissions" as well. While Buffet applauds federal fiscal policymakers for pumping money into the economy...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 11 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    A Better Inflation Indicator? The Trimmed Mean Index

    The Wall Street Journal 's John Hilsenrath wondered why Dallas Fed president Richard Fisher , a noted inflation hawk, does not seem too concerned about inflation these days. Well, Hilsenrath explains, it is because Fisher and his colleagues place...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 9 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    The Far Reach of the European Central Bank's Monetary Policy

    In Europe, all eyes are on Thursday's pending announcement from the European Central Bank on policy moves to halt economic slowdown. That the ECB will cut interest rates below 1% for the first time seems to be accepted. But that may not be enough...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 9 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    CPI Stays Unchanged in January as Lower Energy Costs Offset Slight Rise in Other Indexes

    The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers was flat in January. Lower gasoline, natural gas, and fuel oil costs offset a rises for shelter and apparel costs. From the Bureau of Labor Statistics release: The index for all items less food and...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 11 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Tim Duy: Latest Economic Activity Suggests 'More Interesting Year' for Monetary Policy

    In his latest Fed Watch at the Economist's View Tim Duy lays out some reasons to consider the idea that the Fed may shift its policy away from additional easing. He is not ready to predict a new course yet, but he points to a series of recent data...
  • Graham Griffith
    Graham Griffith
    • over 11 years ago
    • Info
    • Global Economic Watch

    Economists Weigh in on What the Fed Should be Doing Now

    In its Economics by Invitation series, The Economist asks economists to weigh in on vital contemporary issues. Last Friday, the question was "What actions should the Fed be taking?" , and compelling answers keep rolling in from top academics...
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