Brad DeLong has been sharply critical of politicians(and members of the media, and some fellow economists). And if he ran the country, he would have done things differently than those in power over the last couple of years. For example, he writes at Project Syndicate and on his blog , he would have let Lehman Brothers and AIG fail. And he would have nationalized Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. But even as he disagrees with those moves taken or not taken, he gives the Bush and Obama Administrations passing grades for their work in economic policy over the last 30 months: Thus it is worth stepping back and asking: What would the economy look like today if policymakers had acceded to the populist demand of no support to the bankers? What would the economy look like today if Congressional Republican opposition to the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) program had won the day? What would the economy have looked like today had Senators Nelson, Snowe, and company done to Obama's discretionary deficit-spending plan what their predecessors did to Clinton's in 1993 and blocked it? The only point of reference is the Great Depression itself. That is the only time in more than a century when (a) a financial crisis caused a widespread, lengthy, and prolonged reinforcing chain of bank failures, and (b) the government by and large washed its hands--neither intervened on a large scale itself nor passed the baton to a consortium of private banks (usually, in the U.S., headed by Morgan) to support the system as a whole. It is now 19 months after Bear Stearns failed and was taken over by JP MorganChase, with the assistance of up to $30 billion of Federal Reserve money on March 16, 2008. Industrial production now stands 14% below its peak in 2007. By contrast, 19 months after the Bank of United States, with 450,000 depositors, failed on December 11, 1930 – the first major bank collapse in New York since the Knickerbocker Trust failure during the panic and depression of 1907 – industrial production, according to the Federal Reserve index, was 54% below its 1929 peak. Read What Would Have Happened If World Governments Had Washed Their Hands of the Financial Crisis? here .
Filed under: Stimulus, unemployment, brad delong, the great depression, global economic crisis, aig, Lehman, comparing the recession to the Great Depression, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, historical context and economics