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  • Why Small Businesses are Exposed to More Credit Troubles in Times of Crisis

    Even in good times, small businesses have access to fewer credit sources than medium-sized or large businesses. As a result, they are looking for loans in same markets as general consumers. Recently, that has meant small businesses see their credit opportunities tied to their real estate holdings. So when we see a housing crisis of the sort we've been trying to get through, the credit flow is interrupted. James Wilcox --professor of economics and finance at the Haas School of Business , and a visiting scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco --argues that policy makers need to recognize the "particular vulnerabilities of small business to financial crises" in order to better manage credit opportunities to a vital segment of the US economy. In a recent Economic Letter , Wilcox shares this graph: And he writes: Since the onset of the crisis, the credit environment for smaller nonfinancial firms has been much different than for larger nonfinancial firms, due partly to the decline in the values of commercial real estate and the meager rebound in CMBS securitization. Figure 2 shows recent issuance of corporate bonds, CMBS, and non-real-estate ABS. New issues of corporate bonds, an important credit source for large businesses, dropped sharply in 2007 and 2008 before recovering somewhat. While corporate bond issuance has yet to consistently surpass its 2006–07 peak, its average during 2010–11 was higher than it was before the pre-crisis credit boom. The figure also shows that ABS issuance collapsed during the crisis. Issuance rebounded after 2008 to about half its 2007 level. The ABS 2009 recovery was probably due in part to the Fed’s Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility program, which provided loans to ABS investors. The recovery may also have reflected the fact that these securities were backed by assets other than real estate, such as vehicles. Figure 2 also shows that, during the crisis, CMBS issuance—the chief avenue through which small businesses connected to the broader credit markets—halted almost completely and has remained virtually nonexistent since. Declines in residential and commercial real estate prices and uncertainty about future prices may continue to reduce investor willingness to fund loans collateralized by real estate. Thus, small businesses may find that their real estate collateral won’t support the volumes of credit they used to, at least in the immediate future. Read the full article here .
  • Reports of Looser Credit Standards for Small Business Yet to be Confirmed by Small Business Owners

    Case Western Reserve 's Scott Shane is trying to figure out whether small business owners are finding it easier to get credit now than during the recession. And, as he shares at Small Business Trends , he's found conflicting data. On the one hand, there is the trend of more loan officers reporting looser credit standards, as Shane shows here: And yet, according to a couple of key surveys, small business owners themselves say they have not seen any loosening of standards. Still, Shane finds some cause for optimism amid all the confusion: Maybe I should look at the bright side. The lack of agreement that small business access to financing got worse in the past year means that the situation is improving. Before the recovery started everyone agreed that small business access to credit had deteriorated. Read the full post here .
  • SBA: Small Business Lending Dropped $43 Billion from June 2009 to June 2010

    In case there was any doubt small businesses have suffered from a lack of access to credit during the recession, CNN Money 's Catherine Clifford shares some data from the Small Business Administration. The total value of outstanding loans to small businesses plunged by $43 billion, or 6.2%, between June 2009 and June 2010, according to a report released this week by the Small Business Administration. That's a drop of $59 billion, or 8.3%, from June 2008. Measuring lending to small businesses is like trying to nail Jell-O to a wall, because every institution and government agency has its own definition of what constitutes a small business. For this week's study, the SBA drew on data reported to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which tracks lending by the banks it regulates. Both the SBA and FDIC assume that all commercial loans of $1 million or less went to a small business. Read the full article here .
  • The Big Banks Are Lending, But Mainly to One Customer

    From the President, in his state of the union address, to small business owners around the country, everybody seems to be pressing for the banks to revive lending. Marketplace 's Paddy Hirsch points out that the big banks are lending, and making a nice bit of money doing so. But, he adds, it is all to "one very special borrower":
  • Small Business Administration Sees Growth in Loans

    In the two years of the recession, and especially since September of 2008, the key struggle for many small business owners was access to credit. But that may be slowly changing. CNNMoney is reporting that the Small Business Administration's key lending program saw a significant rise at the end of the year. The SBA processed 12,393 loans through the program in the last quarter of 2009. That represented a 38% increase over the previous year. Still, loan activity falls well short of pre-recession levels. From Catherine Clifford of CNNMoney: The SBA credits the improvement to a slew of stimulus measures. "The big takeaway that we have when we look at this is that we were successful in turning around the SBA lending," SBA spokesman Jonathan Swain said. Still, lending remains far behind pre-recession benchmarks. Two years ago, in the last calendar quarter of 2007, the SBA backed more than 20,000 small business loans. "While there are some indicators that the economy is moving in the right direction, no one would say we are out of the woods yet," Swain said. A lagged recovery: SBA loans represent a tiny portion of the overall small business lending landscape, but they're an important barometer of banks' willingness to extend credit to startups and growing companies. The SBA program guarantees a portion of the money banks lend to qualifying businesses. If the borrower defaults, the government pays the bank back. Credit conditions for large businesses have largely returned to normal after the dire credit crunch that followed Lehman Brothers' collapse in late 2008. But small businesses have not enjoyed the same recovery. Sales are down at most companies, and the value of assets typically used as collateral -- like real estate and goods in inventory -- has fallen. That leaves many banks reluctant to lend to borrowers they view as risky bets. Read Small business lending begins to rebound here .
  • The Street Poll on the Impact of Dubai Crisis

    The United Arab Emirates has "pledge[d] to lend money to banks operating in Dubai ," according to the New York Times , in an effort to prevent big disruptions on markets around the world after Dubai's announcement on Friday that the once-high-flying emirate needs to "reschedule" debt payments. The Street 's Eric Rosenbaum is now polling readers, asking who will be hit the hardest by the Dubai "sand trap," and he writes that the impact could be widespread: Big bank lenders to Dubai and the United Arab Emirates, including the Royal Bank of Scotland ( RBS Quote ) , HSBC ( HSBC Quote ) and Standard Chartered were throttled, as was the entire banking sector in the broad sell-off. However, the implications from the Dubai sand-trap could spread across many players, sectors and slices of the economy, and it's still anyone's guess as to the true significance of the debt crisis. There is already talk that the problems in Dubai could serve as an emerging-markets contagion, harkening back to Argentina in 2000 and Russia in the 1990s. Read the article and participate in the poll here .
  • Robert Pozen on Fair Value Accounting

    In the November Harvard Business Review , Robert Pozen --former adviser to President George W. Bush and Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, and current chair of MFS Investment Management--weighs in on the debate over whether accounting rules bear some blame for the financial crisis. And he says that both sides in the argument over whether "fair value accounting" exacerbated the credit crunch a year ago may be wrong: We do not want banks to become insolvent because of short-term declines in the prices of mortgage-related securities. Nor do we want to hide bank losses from investors and delay the cleanup of toxic assets—as happened in Japan in the decade after 1990. To meet the legitimate needs of both bankers and investors, regulatory officials should adopt new multidimensional approaches to financial reporting. Before we can begin to implement sensible reforms, though, we must first clear up some misperceptions about accounting methods. Critics have often lambasted the requirement to write down impaired assets to their fair value, but in reality impairment is a more important concept for historical cost accounting than for fair value accounting. Many journalists have incorrectly assumed that most assets of banks are reported at fair market value, rather than at historical cost. Similarly, many politicians have assumed that most illiquid assets must be valued at market prices, despite several FASB rulings to the contrary. You can read his article here (subscription only). You can also watch Pozen discuss the issue, along with a brief introduction to some of the ideas he puts forward in a new book, Too Big To Save , in this video from Harvard Publishing:
  • Brookings' Karen Dynan on Managing Credit

    There has been a lot of hand wringing about the American addiction to borrowing and the role that behavior played in the crisis (most of it fair), but Karen Dynan , VP of the Economic Studies program at the Brookings Institution says we need to remember the importance of access to credit:
  • Tim Duy: Fed Looking at 'Long Hard Road' of Recovery During FOMC Meeting This week

    The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to meet Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. Tim Duy points out that Ben Bernanke and friends will be meeting with a far more positive "economic backdrop" than they have had for a long time. But for all the relatively good economic news there is, uncertainty remains. Duy believes that the FOMC should continue to anticipate slow recovery, and he points to limited consumer credit as a primary reason: Given the steady anecdotal buzz surrounding the deterioration of the commercial real estate market, it is difficult to expect a rapid reversal of these trends. In short, if you think credit markets are still under stress, as the Fed certainly does, and are worried about the availability of credit to support future spending, also among Fed concerns, then shifting rhetorically to signal a tighter policy stance irrational. Moreover, it would seem inconsistent with plans to continue expanding the balance sheet via purchases of mortgage backed securities and TALF assets. So, it seems Duy is telling us not to expect a drastic change in Fed policy until we see a major shift in consumer credit and unemployment. Read Even With Growth, A Long, Hard Road here .
  • Guardian Readers Help The Queen Understand the Credit Crisis

    In November, Queen Elizabeth asked London School of Economics professors why no one had predicted the credit crunch. They had their shot at answering. Now The Guardian is asking readers to answer, and they are coming up with a variety of answers. Surprisingly enough, most commenters do provide nicely thought-out answers, right or wrong. Like this one: Interest rates, particularly longer term interest rates were too low due to the wall of money from Asia buying up government bonds and money from pension funds who were being forced by government legislation to match assets and liabilities which meant buying those same government bonds that Asian central banks were buying. As a result there was a chase for yield, buying assets that yielded more than the equivalent government bond, corporate bonds, utilities, local government bonds and, yes Mortgage backed securities. And in that process risk was either ignored or swept under the carper by the rating agencies who gave very risky assets AAA ratings. Due to this demand for mortgage backed securities the originators of mortgages loosened their lending standards in order to create more 'product' and lent to people who ere in no position to repay, when they started to default the bonds that were previously rated AAA were downgraded and plummeted in value. There you have it, but I'm sure people would prefer something along the lines of, it was all the greedy bankers fault string em up. But the clever comments are worth a read as well. For example: Well, ma'am, you know how nobody is allowed to ask you a direct question because you're too important? Same with the bankers. Read them all here .
  • SBA Administrator Mills on New Loans for Small Business Owners

    Karen Mills was confirmed as head of the Small Business Administration in April, and then in May launched another effort to help small business owners with one of their biggest challenges: getting loans. Mills announced the new America's Recovery Capital loans in her National Small Business Week address : These short-term loans of up to $35,000 can be used to cover payments on non-SBA debt. They have no SBA fees or interest costs for the borrower and are 100 percent guaranteed by the SBA. The loan is for six months, followed by 12 months of no repayment and then 5 years to pay it back. ARC loans are for viable businesses, meaning that the business must have an established history of good performance – but they are in a situation where they just need a little extra help to bridge the “troubled waters.” The SBA is scheduled to accept loan packages from lenders under this program June 15. Mills says the larger efforts by the Obama Administration have begun to unfreeze credit. But she told CNBC 's Your Business that they need to keep working on re-starting the secondary market for loans, and to make the SBA loan process more accessible and less bureacratic for business owners: Visit msnbc.com for Breaking News , World News , and News about the Economy
  • Credit Card Rates Up for Most Small Businesses

    If anything, interest rates should be realtively low these days, but a National Small Business Association survey shows that 63% of small business owners have had the interest rates on their credit cards go up in the last year. As BusinessWeek notes , this has come at a time when small businesses are highly dependent on credit cards: As we’ve noted before, credit cards have replaced business loans for many small companies. Most business owners aren’t using credit cards for convenience and paying off the balance each month. Instead, they’re using credit card debt to fund operations and investments: 60% of business owners surveyed reported carrying a monthly balance, with 37% carrying $10,000 or more. For one in three businesses, credit card debt accounted for at least 25% of the company’s overall debt. This might help explain the NSBA's pushing a small business amendment to the Credit Card Act of 2009 currenlty working its way through Congress. Read the full NSBA report here .
  • Marketplace Whiteboard: Shadow Banking

    The Federal Reserve tried to jump start nonbank consumer lending through Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility ( TALF ) . TALF is aimed at hedge funds and investment firms--or "shadow banks." In this Whiteboard segment, Marketplace's Paddy Hirsch explains the importance of the shadow banking system in the US economy: Shadow banking from Marketplace on Vimeo .
  • Yale Economists on the Financial Crisis and the Depression Threat

    Robert Shiller writes in a Bloomberg commentary today that the US is in danger of facing another Great Depression. And while he lauds the Obama Administration for "stronger efforts to date" than during the Depression, he calls for more stimulus spending: In the face of a similar Depression-era psychology today, we are in need of massive pump-priming again. We appear to be in a much better situation due to the stronger efforts to date. Still, there is a danger that, because of a combination of faulty economic theory and inadequate appreciation of human psychology, as well as deep public anger, we will not continue with such stimulus on a high enough level. We desperately need to be persistent, keeping our government response adequate for the problem at hand on a sufficient scale and for sufficient time. Earlier this week, Shiller discussed the financial crisis and the current recession as compared to the Great Depression with his fellow Yale economists John Geanakoplos and Richard Levin (also president of Yale). They also compared the current government response to the government efforts during the Depression, and deficits and stimulus spending (Levin calls World War II the stimulus package for the Depression) from both periods. Some of the conversation is a repeat of a February panel in which these three economists were all participants. If you have already viewed that discussion (available here ), you can skip to 15 minutes in on this video (which has the added benefit of skipping most of the Yale back-patting, if that is unappealing for any reason). You can read Shiller's Bllomberg commentary here.
  • Six Small Businesses that Got Startup Cash

    Tim Figgins decided to become a small business owner last year. He had been a business consultant, but chose to buy a boat shop in Newark, Ohio when he learned the owners were looking to retire. In order to get started, he needed a to find a bank willing to lend startup money. And as we know, the last 12 months have been a very tough climate for small businesses looking for loans. But, according to CNNMoney.com Small Business , Figgins was able to work with a bank that has a lot of experience giving out Small Business Administration backed loans, Huntington National Bank in Columbus, OH: While most SBA lenders have sharply cut their loan volume, Huntington has ramped up. One major factor is that the bank keeps the loans it originates, rather than reselling them in bundles to investors. That secondary market underpins as much as half of all SBA-backed lending; when the bottom fell out of it in September, many banks unable to resell their loans then lacked the liquidity to make new loans. Huntington steered clear of that trap. But the bank's officers also emphasize that their success comes from perfecting the SBA procedures. "If you don't do the loans frequently, it can be challenging," says Jeff Rosen, Huntington's business banking director. "We have a process that is easy to meet the demand, because our specialists focus on SBA lending only." CNNMoney profiles Figgins and five other small business owners who were able to get financial backing for their startups. Read about them here .