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  • Breaking Down Barclays Success in Lehman Deal

    Three years ago, as we were wondering whether we were witnessing the complete meltdown of the financial services industry, Bank of America bought Merrill Lynch and Barclays took over the bankrupt Lehman Brothers. Steven Davidoff --professor at the Michael E. Moritz College of Law at The Ohio State University--looks back at those deals, and he argues Barclays won, and Bank of America did not. And the primary reason, Davidoff writes at the New York Times DealBook blog, is because Barclays was more patient: Things would have been different had Bank of America waited. It would at a minimum have paid a bargain basement price for Merrill, one that was tens of billions lower at least. There is still some talk of spinning off Merrill Lynch. The operations of Merrill have already been combined with Bank of America, so a real separation would be complicated. And the recent reorganization of the bank’s management — which puts Merrill Lynch’s wealth management business under David Darnell, the co-chief operating officer, but Bank of America-Merrill Lynch under the other chief operating officer, Tom Montag — also makes a split more difficult. Ultimately, Barclays made a better deal by doing what should be done in an acquisition, carefully assessing the future liabilities and limiting them as much as possible. But let’s be clear. Barclays did this only because it was forced to by the regulator. The first lesson of Bank of America and Merrill Lynch is that impatience and a chief executive’s hubris can lead to some very bad decisions. And regulators can sometimes stop these heady moves. Read The Merrill Lynch and Lehman Deals, 3 Years Later here .
  • Charlie Rose Lehman Brothers Segment

    Of all the discussions we've heard or seen or read this week of the collapse of Lehman Brothers , the Charlie Rose segment might be the best. Andrew Ross Sorkin and Jim Stewart were particularly clear in putting the event into context. The video of the program is now available, so we thought we'd share. Here's a short excerpt: Click here for the full program:
  • Lehman Brothers Compliance Chief Tells Complinet That Faith in Models Ultimately Doomed Company

    The financial pages are abuzz over the anniversary of the the collapse of Lehman Brothers , and President Obama is going to mark the occasion by speaking about Wall Street on Wall Street. He is expected to address regulatory reform and the government's continuing efforts to drive economic recovery. As for Lehman Brothers , David DeMuro provides a particularly interesting perspective. DeMuro was Lehman's head of compliance and regulation. Earlier this summer he spoke at Complinet , a firm specializing in compliance issues. And DeMuro stressed that the issues at Lehman were not unique to that firm. He places a lot of blame for the collapse on a sort of bubble euphoria. He and others may have seen red flags, particularly with mortgage subsidiaries, but the firm did not change its ways because of what DeMuro calls an "almost religious belief in the veracity of the models that comforted a lot of people": The Great Crash of 2008: An Insider's View of a Global Economy in Crisis and the Regulatory Failures from complinet on Vimeo .
  • Economists Continue Optimistic Streak in WSJ Forecasting Survey; Also Think the Government Should Not Have Let Lehman Collapse

    Most economists surveyed for the Wall Street Journal 's monthly forecast see a net job increase coming over the course of the next 12 months. The Journal's Phil Izzo points out that this is the first time in over a year that they have projected job growth. As a group, the economists still expect unemployment to top 10%--so that job growth is going to take a little while and things are going to get worse in the labor market before they get better. The survey shows relative optimism for growth in the coming months, with a prediction of 3% growth in the current quarter. Here's a look at the GDP projections over the course of the recession: Click here for interactive versions of the Journal's helpful graphics and charts associated with the forecasting survey. Given that we are at the one-year anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers, one of the more interesting questions on the latest forecasting survey was whether the government should have saved the investment banking giant. Most of the economists who responded to that question thought the government made a mistake. Kelly Evans and Phil Izzo discuss that and other aspects of the survey in this video: Read the accompanying article on the survey here .