IMF Lowering Expectations for Growth in China

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The IMF released its economic outlook for China this morning, and the big takeaway is that IMF economists have lowered their expectations for economic growth. 

The Chinese economy has, once again, shown its resilience in the midst of a difficult external environment, buoyed by robust corporate profitability and rising household incomes. However, net exports will prove to be a significant drag on growth in the coming two years, with the current account surplus remaining at 3–4 percent of GDP. As a result, growth is expected to fall to 81⁄4 percent this year (from 9.2 percent in 2011), gathering speed in the latter part of this year and rising to 83⁄4 percent in 2013.

Here is a look at the IMF's GDP growth projections for China this year:

And here is one look at the importance of exports to China's economy:

While China weathered the Global Economic Recession of 2008-2009 relatively well, the big concern is that Europe's economic woes will hit China harder this time around.  Read the IMF's China Economic Outlook here.

(Hat tip Reuters)


Posted 02-06-2012 10:43 AM by Graham Griffith
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