There are those who think that GDP is
limited as a measure of a nation's progress. Bhutan, for example, has its
GNH: Gross National Happiness. Could there be a way to measure
inventiveness? If there were, Nathan Myhrvold would surely get on board
and push that measure as a way to forecast future economic health. In a column for Bloomberg,
Myhrvold--former chief strategist and chief technology officer at Microsoft, and founder and chief executive officer of Intellectual Ventures--argues that inventiveness and innovation are difficult to measure, and therefore get short shrift by economists.
The economy of the world is not based on the simple interplay of capital and labor. Sure, these are involved. But they are secondary characteristics, not fundamental ones. Macroeconomists are often said to have their fingers on the pulse of the economy, and that’s an apt analogy. A pulse is a decent secondary indicator of life because blood flow is one prerequisite for the body’s survival. But the pulse is a weak and incomplete measure of life. A brain-dead patient, after all, may have a pulse even though the person’s life is over. Conversely, a machine can drive a pulse without giving life.
So while it’s all well and good to measure the flow of capital and the markets for labor, don’t mistake this data for the forces that really drive growth, which are inventions (or, if you prefer, ideas) and the ways that they are made real. In response to these forces, capital is deployed and labor is expended.
Physics is obsessed with conservation laws; mass and energy can be neither created nor destroyed. Economics, on the other hand, obsesses about growth and recession, in which economic value is explicitly created and destroyed. Invention is, directly or indirectly, a primary source of the value we call growth.
Yet economists give invention short shrift. That is partly because they are still hazy about the origin of inventions. I find talking to economists about invention’s role in the economy a bit like talking to fourth graders about where children come from. A smart fourth grader can tell you all about how kids progress through elementary school. They can even tell you about infants, and that mommy’s belly gets big before one appears. But how and why the spark of conception occurs may be a mystery.
Read Invention Is the Mother of Economic Growth here.
Posted
12-21-2011 1:57 PM
by
Graham Griffith