In its Economics by Invitation series, The Economist asks economists to weigh in on vital contemporary issues. Last Friday, the question was "What actions should the Fed be taking?", and compelling answers keep rolling in from top academics. Rutgers economist Michael Bordo calls for a "credible" commitment to a price level target. The University of Oregon's Mark Thoma puts forward ways in which the Fed can continue to lower interest rates. Columbia's Guillermo Calvo thinks the first order of business is to "address Main Street's credit crunch." And Boston University's Lawrence Kotlikoff argues that "if the Fed is ultimately
going to need to print money to pay the government's bills, this is the
time to do it or, at least more of it."...
The danger, though, is that when
the economy returns to normal, there will be so much money sloshing
around that prices will rise dramatically.
The Fed is very worried about this outcome having printed $1.152
trillion since August 2007 and jacked up the monetary base by a factor
of 2.4. Indeed, the Fed is so worried about this extra money getting
into the economy's bloodstream that it's been bribing banks to horde
this money as excess reserves. The bribe is coming in the form of
paying interest on the excess reserves. This bribe has also been used
to pass money under the table to the banks so they could "earn" money
in a completely safe manner and, thereby, remain solvent.
In worrying about inflation and in keeping the banks afloat via
payment of interest on excess reserves, the Fed has undermined its
other objective, namely getting the banks to make more loans to the
private sector. I think it's time to focus on that objective. Hence,
I'd also recommend that the Fed stop paying interest on deposits and
take the risk on inflation. Jobs, at this point, are more important
than prices.
Read Kotlikoff's full post here.
Posted
08-18-2010 7:53 AM
by
Graham Griffith
Filed under: Federal Reserve, monetary policy, fiscal policy, deflation, debt, The Economist, inflation, Fed actions, lawrence kotlikoff, monetize debt, monetise debt