Calculated Risk: Five Reasons Unemployment Will Rise

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After last week's report that jobless claims rose again, Calculated Risk shared this look at the trend-lines for unemployment:

And Calculated Risk gave five reasons unemployment will go up through the rest of the year.  The first reason: "There is a general relationship between GDP and the unemployment rate (see Okun's Law), and since I expect a 2nd half slowdown (from a sluggish 1st half), I also expect few payroll jobs to be added in the 2nd half - and that suggests the unemployment rate will rise."

Read the full post here.


Posted 08-16-2010 9:16 AM by Graham Griffith
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