[View:http://community.cengage.com/GECResource/themes/gew/utility/ :550:0] posted on YouTube , March 9, 2012 The video posted above is just for fun. The humor works because those of us who have used Mac computers are all-too-familiar with the "Rainbow Circle of Death" that signals a computer "time-out." The appearance of the troubling animated icon during a public speech (particularly one as viral as a TED Talk!) should be a warning to all students and marketers getting ready for a presentation. Make sure that your materials are downloaded and working when timeliness counts. And bring that thumb drive as a back-up. But not all computer-related loss of productivity is due to the computer "hanging." Waiting for the computer to recover from whatever triggered its "time-out" is one form of lag-time in the computer world. But there are other ways in which the computer environment has not delivered the efficiencies that were imagined or promised. John Cassidy laid out the history of our internet expectations in his New Yorker article from April 2013. In the late 1990's, economists (including the Fed's Alan Greenspan ) thought that computers and the internet would lead to a growth in productivity and its related growth in salaries and wages. Between 1996 and 2000, labor productivity grew 2.75% annually. After the internet bubble burst in 2000, labor productivity continued to rise: between 2001 and 2004, productivity went up 3.5% annually. 2005: social networking begins; people became "permanently online." But : the productivity growth rate dropped to 1.5% per year. 2011: productivity increase is only 0.6 to 0.7% annually. 2012: productivity DECREASES by 1.9%. So, basically, since 2005 the rates of productivity have been worse than before the Web was a commercial presence. And the trend is getting worse. Of course, this trend is not all the fault of the Rainbow Circle of Death. One cause, according to Business Insider , is insomnia--which is partly the result of late-night internet surfing. But Cassidy cites other reasons in his New Yorker article. He quotes Robert J. Gordon of the Center for Economic Policy Research: " Many of the inventions that replaced tedious and repetitive clerical labor with computers happened a long time ago, in the 1970s and 1980s. Invention since 2000 has centered on entertainment and communication devices that are smaller, smarter, and more capable, but do not fundamentally change labor productivity or the standard of living in the way that electric light, motor cars, or indoor plumbing changed it." In other words, the iPad, the iPhone and the Samsung Galaxy may be fun and cool, but they are not "game-changers." They don't really do anything new that is productive. They just make leisure activities more accessible. But not everyone agrees with Mr. Gordon. Kevin Kelly, of Wired , postulated that people 80 years in the future will have this view: "Gordon missed the impact from the real inventions of this revolution: big data, ubiquitous mobile, quantified self, cheap AI, and personal work robots. All of these were far more consequential than stand alone computation, and yet all of them were embryonic and visible when he wrote his paper. He was looking backwards instead of forward.” We'll have to wait and see who is right... Sources: " What Happened to the Internet Productivity Miracle? ," by John Cassidy, The New Yorker, April 2, 2013. " Is U.S. Economic Growth Over? " by Robert J. Gordon, Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), September, 2012. Follow up: How does internet access SAVE you time? In what ways does the internet LOWER your productivity? How does doing work on a computer--aside from the time you spend on the internet--save you time? In what ways does the computer